Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Live
- $69.1K
- $15.97M
- 267
- $3.59M
- $3.49M
The leading questions, over time
Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.
- Gadi Eizenkot43.6%
- Benjamin Netanyahu36.5%
- Naftali Bennett9.5%
- Avigdor Lieberman2.1%
Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.
Questions in this event
19 open · 9 never tradedChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.
- 43.6 %
Gadi Eizenkot
$10.3K traded, 24 h
Yes 43.6¢No 56.4¢ - 36.5 %
Benjamin Netanyahu
$42.1K traded, 24 h
Yes 36.5¢No 63.5¢ - 9.5 %
Naftali Bennett
$1.9K traded, 24 h
Yes 9.5¢No 90.5¢ - 2.1 %
Avigdor Lieberman
$13.0K traded, 24 h
Yes 2.1¢No 97.9¢ - < 1 %
Itamar Ben Gvir
$172.39 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.8¢No 99.2¢ - < 1 %
Ofer Winter
$253.14 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.7¢No 99.3¢ - < 1 %
Yair Golan
$189.11 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.2¢No 99.8¢ - < 1 %
Yossi Cohen
$426.05 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Yair Lapid
$311.77 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Moshe Feiglin
$418.39 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
- < 1 %
Israel Katz
$116.04 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Gideon Sa’ar
$6.10 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Benny Gantz
$3.01 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Yariv Levin
$2.40 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Gilad Erdan
$2.00 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Yoaz Hendel
$0.69 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Amir Ohana
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Ayelet Shaked
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Nir Barkat
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
Event facts
- Category
- Politics · Global elections
- Structure
- Exactly one question can win
- UMA bond
- $500
- Resolver
- UMA CTF Adapter v3
- Questions
- 19 open · 9 never traded
- Fills, last 24 h
- 956
- Polymarket-reported 24h volume
- 337,925 shares
- Created
- First trade
- Event start
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This event has 28 questions and exactly one of them can win: when one settles Yes, every other settles No.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
It can settle from Oct 28, 2026 03:59 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.
Prices as of Oct 8, 2026 23:11 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.