Who will be UFC Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026?
Live
- $6.7K
- $294.8K
- 41
- $13.4K
- $47.1K
The leading questions, over time
Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.
- Ciryl Gane70.0%
- Josh Hokit29.1%
- Alex Pereira0.9%
- Tom Aspinall0.1%
Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.
Questions in this event
15 open · 4 never tradedChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.
- 70.0 %
Ciryl Gane
$2.0K traded, 24 h
Yes 70.0¢No 30.0¢ - 29.1 %
Josh Hokit
$1.8K traded, 24 h
Yes 29.1¢No 70.9¢ - < 1 %
Alex Pereira
$1.4K traded, 24 h
Yes 0.9¢No 99.1¢ - < 1 %
Tom Aspinall
$1.5K traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Alexander Volkov
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Ante Delija
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Curtis Blaydes
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Derrick Lewis
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Jailton Almeida
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Marcin Tybura
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
4 more that never traded
Event facts
- Category
- Sports · MMA
- Structure
- Exactly one question can win
- Fee
- 3% × p × (1−p) · taker only · 25% maker rebate
- Resolution terms
- Varies by question
- Questions
- 15 open · 4 never traded
- Fills, last 24 h
- 94
- Polymarket-reported 24h volume
- 9,593 shares
- Created
- First trade
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Heavyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
This event has 19 questions and exactly one of them can win: when one settles Yes, every other settles No.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
It can settle from Jan 1, 2027 04:59 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.
Prices as of Oct 14, 2026 03:41 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.