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World · Ukraine & Russiaputin

Who will Putin meet bilaterally in Turkmenistan?

Live

$22.0K
$24.2K
13
$1.2K
$31.2K

The leading questions, over time

Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.

  • Alexander Lukashenko49.0%
  • Ilham Aliyev38.5%
  • Shavkat Mirziyoyev17.0%
  • Kassym-Jomart Tokayev16.5%
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Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.

Event facts

Category
World · Ukraine & Russia
Structure
Each question settles on its own; several can win
Resolution terms
Varies by question
Questions
8 open · 2 settled
Fills, last 24 h
39
Polymarket-reported 24h volume
36,886 shares
  1. Created
  2. First trade

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How does this event settle?

Rules, as written by Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin holds a bilateral meeting with the listed individual in Turkmenistan between market creation and October 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Vladimir Putin is scheduled to visit Turkmenistan on October 8–9, 2026, including for the meeting of the CIS Council of Heads of State in Avaza on October 9. A bilateral meeting is a meeting between Putin and the listed individual, with or without their delegations, held separately from the summit's plenary, narrow-format, or expanded-format sessions and from other group events. Meetings described by official sources or credible reporting as bilateral talks, a one-on-one or tête-à-tête meeting, or a meeting on the sidelines of the summit will qualify. Brief exchanges, handshakes, informal conversations during or between group sessions, joint appearances at ceremonies, receptions, dinners, or other group events, and trilateral or multilateral meetings will not qualify. Phone or video calls will not qualify. The resolution source will be official information from the Kremlin and the governments of the listed individuals; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

This event has 10 questions. Each one settles on its own, so several can settle Yes.

Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.

2 of the 10 have settled; Serdar Berdimuhamedov, Masoud Pezeshkian settled Yes.

It can settle from Oct 11, 2026 03:59 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.

Prices as of Oct 10, 2026 16:08 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.