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World · Global elections

Who will receive the first mandate to form Israel's next government?

Live

$26.0K
$49.2K
133
$27.2K
$342.2K

The leading questions, over time

Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.

  • Gadi Eizenkot72.5%
  • Benjamin Netanyahu24.5%
  • Naftali Bennett1.1%
  • Amir Ohana0.1%
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Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.

Questions in this event

19 open · 81 never traded

Chance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.

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81 more that never traded

Event facts

Category
World · Global elections
Structure
Exactly one question can win
Fee
Varies by question
UMA bond
$500
Resolver
Neg-risk UMA CTF Adapter (sports)
Questions
19 open · 81 never traded
Fills, last 24 h
608
Polymarket-reported 24h volume
39,635 shares
  1. Created
  2. First trade

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How does this event settle?

Rules, as written by Polymarket

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the first individual who is officially tasked by the President of Israel with forming a government following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the first individual who is officially tasked with forming a government after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally tasked with forming a government by the President of Israel. Recommendations made to the President by parties or members of the Knesset, and the President's consultations, will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no individual is tasked with forming a government by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

This event has 100 questions and exactly one of them can win: when one settles Yes, every other settles No.

Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.

It can settle from Oct 28, 2026 03:59 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.

Prices as of Oct 27, 2026 18:33 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.