Who will receive the first mandate to form Israel's next government?
Live
- $26.0K
- $49.2K
- 133
- $27.2K
- $342.2K
The leading questions, over time
Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.
- Gadi Eizenkot72.5%
- Benjamin Netanyahu24.5%
- Naftali Bennett1.1%
- Amir Ohana0.1%
Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.
Questions in this event
19 open · 81 never tradedChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.
- 72.5 %
Gadi Eizenkot
$10.1K traded, 24 h
Yes 72.5¢No 27.5¢ - 24.5 %
Benjamin Netanyahu
$7.8K traded, 24 h
Yes 24.5¢No 75.5¢ - 1.1 %
Naftali Bennett
$8.0K traded, 24 h
Yes 1.1¢No 98.9¢ - < 1 %
Avigdor Lieberman
$5.61 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Amir Ohana
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Ayelet Shaked
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Benny Gantz
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Gideon Sa’ar
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Gilad Erdan
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Israel Katz
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
81 more that never traded
- No quote now
Other
- No quote now
Person 1
- No quote now
Person 2
- No quote now
Person 3
- No quote now
Person 4
- No quote now
Person 5
- No quote now
Person 6
- No quote now
Person 7
- No quote now
Person 8
- No quote now
Person 9
- No quote now
Person 10
- No quote now
Person 11
- No quote now
Person 12
- No quote now
Person 13
- No quote now
Person 14
- No quote now
Person 15
- No quote now
Person 16
- No quote now
Person 17
- No quote now
Person 18
- No quote now
Person 19
- No quote now
Person 20
- No quote now
Person 21
- No quote now
Person 22
- No quote now
Person 23
- No quote now
Person 24
- No quote now
Person 25
- No quote now
Person 26
- No quote now
Person 27
- No quote now
Person 28
- No quote now
Person 29
- No quote now
Person 30
- No quote now
Person 31
- No quote now
Person 32
- No quote now
Person 33
- No quote now
Person 34
- No quote now
Person 35
- No quote now
Person 36
- No quote now
Person 37
- No quote now
Person 38
- No quote now
Person 39
- No quote now
Person 40
- No quote now
Person 41
- No quote now
Person 42
- No quote now
Person 43
- No quote now
Person 44
- No quote now
Person 45
- No quote now
Person 46
- No quote now
Person 47
- No quote now
Person 48
- No quote now
Person 49
- No quote now
Person 50
- No quote now
Person 51
- No quote now
Person 52
- No quote now
Person 53
- No quote now
Person 54
- No quote now
Person 55
- No quote now
Person 56
- No quote now
Person 57
- No quote now
Person 58
- No quote now
Person 59
- No quote now
Person 60
- No quote now
Person 61
- No quote now
Person 62
- No quote now
Person 63
- No quote now
Person 64
- No quote now
Person 65
- No quote now
Person 66
- No quote now
Person 67
- No quote now
Person 68
- No quote now
Person 69
- No quote now
Person 70
- No quote now
Person 71
- No quote now
Person 72
- No quote now
Person 73
- No quote now
Person 74
- No quote now
Person 75
- No quote now
Person 76
- No quote now
Person 77
- No quote now
Person 78
- No quote now
Person 79
- No quote now
Person 80
Event facts
- Category
- World · Global elections
- Structure
- Exactly one question can win
- Fee
- Varies by question
- UMA bond
- $500
- Resolver
- Neg-risk UMA CTF Adapter (sports)
- Questions
- 19 open · 81 never traded
- Fills, last 24 h
- 608
- Polymarket-reported 24h volume
- 39,635 shares
- Created
- First trade
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the first individual who is officially tasked by the President of Israel with forming a government following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the first individual who is officially tasked with forming a government after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally tasked with forming a government by the President of Israel. Recommendations made to the President by parties or members of the Knesset, and the President's consultations, will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no individual is tasked with forming a government by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This event has 100 questions and exactly one of them can win: when one settles Yes, every other settles No.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
It can settle from Oct 28, 2026 03:59 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.
Prices as of Oct 27, 2026 18:33 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.