Who will Trump speak to by November 30?
Live
- $8.3K
- $8.3K
- 82
- $8.1K
- $130.7K
The leading questions, over time
Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.
- Xi Jinping90.5%
- Vladimir Putin81.5%
- Mark Carney76.5%
- Elon Musk73.0%
Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.
Questions in this event
22 openChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.
- 90.5 %
Xi Jinping
$2.0K traded, 24 h
Yes 90.5¢No 9.5¢ - 81.5 %
Vladimir Putin
$317.32 traded, 24 h
Yes 81.5¢No 18.5¢ - 76.5 %
Mark Carney
$541.84 traded, 24 h
Yes 76.5¢No 23.5¢ - 73.0 %
Elon Musk
$219.49 traded, 24 h
Yes 73.0¢No 27.0¢ - 69.5 %
Mark Rutte
$9.45 traded, 24 h
Yes 69.5¢No 30.5¢ - 53.0 %
Ahmed al-Sharaa
$11.60 traded, 24 h
Yes 53.0¢No 47.0¢ - 52.5 %
Volodymyr Zelenskyy
$24.64 traded, 24 h
Yes 52.5¢No 47.5¢ - 52.5 %
Andy Burnham
$19.25 traded, 24 h
Yes 52.5¢No 47.5¢ - 52.5 %
Mohammed bin Salman
Yes 52.5¢No 47.5¢ - 52.0 %
Emmanuel Macron
$27.85 traded, 24 h
Yes 52.0¢No 48.0¢
- 47.0 %
Lula da Silva
$50.82 traded, 24 h
Yes 47.0¢No 53.0¢ - 45.5 %
Ursula von der Leyen
$258.43 traded, 24 h
Yes 45.5¢No 54.5¢ - 31.5 %
Friedrich Merz
$397.64 traded, 24 h
Yes 31.5¢No 68.5¢ - 27.5 %
Maria Corina Machado
$91.58 traded, 24 h
Yes 27.5¢No 72.5¢ - 20.5 %
Kim Jong Un
$198.77 traded, 24 h
Yes 20.5¢No 79.5¢ - 8.5 %
Pope Leo XIV
$789.40 traded, 24 h
Yes 8.5¢No 91.5¢ - 4.3 %
Masoud Pezeshkian
$429.92 traded, 24 h
Yes 4.3¢No 95.7¢ - 3.4 %
Reza Pahlavi
$930.42 traded, 24 h
Yes 3.4¢No 96.6¢ - 2.8 %
Miguel Díaz-Canel
$325.03 traded, 24 h
Yes 2.8¢No 97.2¢ - 2.3 %
Nicolás Maduro
$109.98 traded, 24 h
Yes 2.3¢No 97.7¢ - 1.5 %
Yoon Suk Yeol
$300.49 traded, 24 h
Yes 1.5¢No 98.5¢ - 1.2 %
Mojtaba Khamenei
$1.2K traded, 24 h
Yes 1.2¢No 98.8¢
Event facts
- Category
- Politics · Geopolitics
- Series
- Trump talk monthly · monthly
- Structure
- Each question settles on its own; several can win
- UMA bond
- $500
- Resolver
- UMA CTF Adapter (sports)
- Questions
- 22 open
- Fills, last 24 h
- 342
- Polymarket-reported 24h volume
- 19,605 shares
- Created
- First trade
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual speaks with Donald Trump between market creation and November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Speaking is defined as any verbal interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be credible media reporting. However, in the absence of definitive or in the case of contradictory media reporting, statements by either of the specified individuals or their official representatives will also be considered. Statements by the specified individuals or their official representatives will only be considered conclusive if the claims explicitly, or in context unambiguously, indicate that a qualifying talk occurred within the specified timeframe and took place via verbal communication, and provided that such claims are not contradicted by the other specified individual, their representatives, or credible media reporting by the end of the third calendar date (ET) following the statement in question. This market will resolve at the earlier of i) a qualifying verbal interaction being confirmed under the above rules or ii) 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following this market's above-specified timeframe. If the date and time of a qualifying talk cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following this market's above-specified timeframe, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
This event has 22 questions. Each one settles on its own, so several can settle Yes.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
It can settle from Dec 1, 2026 04:59 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.
Prices as of Oct 31, 2026 08:32 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.