Will Ethos launch a token by ___?
Live
- $6.4K
- $12.5K
- 17
- $11.1K
- $5.1K
The leading questions, over time
Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.
- December 31, 2026100.0%
- October 15, 2026100.0%
- October 31, 2026100.0%
- October 8, 202699.7%
Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.
Questions in this event
4 openChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.
Event facts
- Category
- Crypto · Token launches
- Structure
- Each question settles on its own; several can win
- Fee
- 7% × p × (1−p) · taker only · 20% maker rebate
- UMA bond
- $500
- Resolver
- UMA CTF Adapter (sports)
- Questions
- 4 open
- Fills, last 24 h
- 30
- Polymarket-reported 24h volume
- 6,698 shares
- Created
- First trade
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ethos officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only an official token launched by Ethos after the creation of this market will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Ethos (https://x.com/ethos_network), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This event has 4 questions. Each one settles on its own, so several can settle Yes.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
It can settle from Jan 1, 2027 05:00 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.
Prices as of Oct 8, 2026 17:06 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.