What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit Week of October 12 2026?
Live
- $7.8K
- $12.8K
- 70
- $11.6K
- $127.8K
The leading questions, over time
Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.
- ↑ $78080.5%
- ↓ $77566.5%
- ↑ $78539.5%
- ↓ $77033.0%
Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.
Questions in this event
14 openChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.
- 80.5 %
↑ $780
$438.68 traded, 24 h
Yes 80.5¢No 19.5¢ - 66.5 %
↓ $775
$222.00 traded, 24 h
Yes 66.5¢No 33.5¢ - 39.5 %
↑ $785
$377.26 traded, 24 h
Yes 39.5¢No 60.5¢ - 33.0 %
↓ $770
$642.22 traded, 24 h
Yes 33.0¢No 67.0¢ - 11.5 %
↓ $765
$191.18 traded, 24 h
Yes 11.5¢No 88.5¢ - 10.5 %
↑ $790
$937.58 traded, 24 h
Yes 10.5¢No 89.5¢ - 8.2 %
↓ $750
Yes 8.2¢No 91.8¢ - 6.1 %
↓ $760
$4.4K traded, 24 h
Yes 6.1¢No 93.9¢ - 4.5 %
↑ $795
$192.17 traded, 24 h
Yes 4.5¢No 95.5¢ - 3.4 %
↑ $805
Yes 3.4¢No 96.6¢
Event facts
- Category
- Finance · Equities
- Series
- SPY Hit Price Weekly · weekly
- Structure
- Each question settles on its own; several can win
- Fee
- 4% × p × (1−p) · taker only · 25% maker rebate
- UMA bond
- $250
- Dispute window
- 15 minutes
- Resolver
- UMA CTF Adapter (sports)
- Questions
- 14 open
- Fills, last 24 h
- 185
- Polymarket-reported 24h volume
- 10,448 shares
- Created
- First trade
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit Week of October 12 2026?
This event has 14 questions. Each one settles on its own, so several can settle Yes.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
The result is checked against pythdata.app. Open the source
It can settle from Oct 16, 2026 20:00 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.
Prices as of Oct 14, 2026 00:36 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.