What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit Week of October 19 2026?
Live
- $8.2K
- $18.3K
- 111
- $15.8K
- $94.3K
The leading questions, over time
Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.
- ↑ $77562.5%
- ↑ $78028.0%
- ↓ $76028.0%
- ↑ $78510.8%
Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.
Questions in this event
12 open · 4 settledChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.
- 62.5 %
↑ $775
$165.24 traded, 24 h
Yes 62.5¢No 37.5¢ - 28.0 %
↓ $760
$993.07 traded, 24 h
Yes 28.0¢No 72.0¢ - 28.0 %
↑ $780
$338.53 traded, 24 h
Yes 28.0¢No 72.0¢ - 10.8 %
↑ $785
$16.45 traded, 24 h
Yes 10.8¢No 89.2¢ - 9.0 %
↓ $755
$584.13 traded, 24 h
Yes 9.0¢No 91.0¢ - 5.5 %
↓ $750
$454.65 traded, 24 h
Yes 5.5¢No 94.5¢ - 3.6 %
↓ $740
$1.3K traded, 24 h
Yes 3.6¢No 96.4¢ - 3.0 %
↓ $735
$20.08 traded, 24 h
Yes 3.0¢No 97.0¢ - 3.0 %
↑ $795
Yes 3.0¢No 97.0¢ - 3.0 %
↓ $745
$2.4K traded, 24 h
Yes 3.0¢No 97.0¢
Event facts
- Category
- Finance · Equities
- Series
- SPY Hit Price Weekly · weekly
- Structure
- Each question settles on its own; several can win
- Fee
- Varies by question
- UMA bond
- $250
- Dispute window
- 15 minutes
- Resolver
- UMA CTF Adapter (sports)
- Questions
- 12 open · 4 settled
- Fills, last 24 h
- 275
- Polymarket-reported 24h volume
- 16,275 shares
- Created
- First trade
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit Week of October 19 2026?
This event has 16 questions. Each one settles on its own, so several can settle Yes.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
4 of the 16 have settled; ↓ $765, ↑ $770, ↑ $765, ↑ $770 settled Yes.
The result is checked against pythdata.app. Open the source
It can settle from Oct 23, 2026 20:00 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.
Prices as of Oct 20, 2026 23:10 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.