What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit Week of October 5 2026?
Live
- $4.2K
- $14.4K
- 82
- $13.4K
- $62.6K
The leading questions, over time
Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.
- ↑ $80549.8%
- ↓ $77040.0%
- ↑ $78023.5%
- ↓ $7659.0%
Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.
Questions in this event
15 open · 6 settledChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.
- 49.8 %
↑ $805
Yes 49.8¢No 50.2¢ - 40.0 %
↓ $770
$230.74 traded, 24 h
Yes 40.0¢No 60.0¢ - 23.5 %
↑ $780
$712.78 traded, 24 h
Yes 23.5¢No 76.5¢ - 9.0 %
↓ $765
$2.0K traded, 24 h
Yes 9.0¢No 91.0¢ - 6.0 %
↑ $785
$154.23 traded, 24 h
Yes 6.0¢No 94.0¢ - 4.0 %
↓ $760
$182.64 traded, 24 h
Yes 4.0¢No 96.0¢ - 3.9 %
↓ $750
$89.08 traded, 24 h
Yes 3.9¢No 96.1¢ - 3.9 %
↓ $745
$9.90 traded, 24 h
Yes 3.9¢No 96.1¢ - 3.6 %
↓ $755
$105.55 traded, 24 h
Yes 3.6¢No 96.4¢ - 3.5 %
↑ $790
$16.76 traded, 24 h
Yes 3.5¢No 96.5¢
Event facts
- Category
- Finance · Equities
- Series
- SPY Hit Price Weekly · weekly
- Structure
- Each question settles on its own; several can win
- Fee
- 4% × p × (1−p) · taker only · 25% maker rebate
- UMA bond
- $250
- Dispute window
- 15 minutes
- Resolver
- UMA CTF Adapter (sports)
- Questions
- 15 open · 6 settled
- Fills, last 24 h
- 183
- Polymarket-reported 24h volume
- 7,251 shares
- Created
- First trade
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit Week of October 5 2026?
This event has 21 questions. Each one settles on its own, so several can settle Yes.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
6 of the 21 have settled; ↓ $775, ↑ $770, ↑ $775, ↑ $780, ↓ $775, ↓ $780 settled Yes.
The result is checked against pythdata.app. Open the source
It can settle from Oct 9, 2026 20:00 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.
Prices as of Oct 8, 2026 16:04 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.