Will the Knesset elect a new Speaker by...?
Live
- $6.0K
- $7.8K
- 14
- $4.4K
- $16.6K
The leading questions, over time
Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.
- December 3172.5%
- November 1348.5%
- November 3047.5%
- November 60.3%
Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.
Questions in this event
4 openChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.
Event facts
- Category
- World · Global elections
- Structure
- Each question settles on its own; several can win
- Fee
- Varies by question
- UMA bond
- $500
- Resolver
- UMA CTF Adapter (sports)
- Questions
- 4 open
- Fills, last 24 h
- 17
- Polymarket-reported 24h volume
- 6,790 shares
- Created
- First trade
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first Speaker of the 26th Knesset is elected by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An individual serving as, appointed as, or deemed to be acting or temporary Speaker will not trigger a "Yes" resolution to this market. Only the successful election of the first Speaker of the 26th Knesset will result in this market's resolving to "Yes". This market may resolve to "Yes" as soon as a Speaker of the 26th Knesset is successfully elected. Otherwise, this market may not resolve until its expiration time passes. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Knesset and the Government of Israel, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This event has 4 questions. Each one settles on its own, so several can settle Yes.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
It can settle from Jan 1, 2027 04:59 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.
Prices as of Nov 2, 2026 05:22 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.