What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit Week of October 5 2026?
Live
- $5.4K
- $14.8K
- 45
- $10.7K
- $9.1K
The leading questions, over time
Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.
- ↓ $4,15087.5%
- ↑ $4,20054.5%
- ↓ $4,10042.5%
- ↑ $4,25021.5%
Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.
Questions in this event
14 open · 2 settledChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.
- 87.5 %
↓ $4,150
$1.0K traded, 24 h
Yes 87.5¢No 12.5¢ - 54.5 %
↑ $4,200
$1.1K traded, 24 h
Yes 54.5¢No 45.5¢ - 42.5 %
↓ $4,100
$713.40 traded, 24 h
Yes 42.5¢No 57.5¢ - 21.5 %
↑ $4,250
$112.16 traded, 24 h
Yes 21.5¢No 78.5¢ - 16.0 %
↓ $4,050
$197.95 traded, 24 h
Yes 16.0¢No 84.0¢ - 14.6 %
↑ $4,350
$10.00 traded, 24 h
Yes 14.6¢No 85.4¢ - 7.0 %
↑ $4,300
$570.80 traded, 24 h
Yes 7.0¢No 93.0¢ - 4.2 %
↓ $4,000
$478.39 traded, 24 h
Yes 4.2¢No 95.8¢ - 3.5 %
↓ $3,950
$1.1K traded, 24 h
Yes 3.5¢No 96.5¢ - 3.3 %
↓ $3,800
Yes 3.3¢No 96.7¢
Event facts
- Category
- Finance · Commodities
- Series
- Gold Hit Price Weekly · weekly
- Structure
- Each question settles on its own; several can win
- Fee
- 4% × p × (1−p) · taker only · 25% maker rebate
- UMA bond
- $250
- Resolver
- UMA CTF Adapter (sports)
- Questions
- 14 open · 2 settled
- Fills, last 24 h
- 122
- Polymarket-reported 24h volume
- 8,476 shares
- Created
- First trade
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit Week of October 5 2026?
This event has 16 questions. Each one settles on its own, so several can settle Yes.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
2 of the 16 have settled; ↑ $4,150, ↑ $4,150 settled Yes.
The result is checked against pythdata.app. Open the source
It can settle from Oct 9, 2026 21:00 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.
Prices as of Oct 7, 2026 00:57 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.