Women's Ballon d'Or Top 5 Finish 2026
Live
- $19.7K
- $25.7K
- 15
- $2.6K
- $4.4K
The leading questions, over time
Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.
- Alexia Putellas99.8%
- Melchie Dumornay97.5%
- Ewa Pajor95.1%
- Khadija Shaw73.0%
Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.
Questions in this event
10 open · 20 settledChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.
- > 99 %
Alexia Putellas
Yes 99.8¢No 0.2¢ - 97.5 %
Melchie Dumornay
$0.10 traded, 24 h
Yes 97.5¢No 2.5¢ - 95.1 %
Ewa Pajor
$292.74 traded, 24 h
Yes 95.1¢No 4.9¢ - 73.0 %
Khadija Shaw
Yes 73.0¢No 27.0¢ - 51.5 %
Patri Guijarro
Yes 51.5¢No 48.5¢ - 50.1 %
Pernille Harder
Yes 50.1¢No 49.9¢ - 49.5 %
Alessia Russo
Yes 49.5¢No 50.5¢ - 23.5 %
Temwa Chawinga
Yes 23.5¢No 76.5¢ - 15.0 %
Claudia Pina
$10.08 traded, 24 h
Yes 15.0¢No 85.0¢ - 12.0 %
Caroline Graham Hansen
Yes 12.0¢No 88.0¢
20 settled
- Settled No
Selma Bacha
$1.8K traded, 24 h
- Settled No
Tessa Wullaert
$1.6K traded, 24 h
- Settled No
Wendie Renard
$1.6K traded, 24 h
- Settled No
Scarlett Camberos
$1.5K traded, 24 h
- Settled No
Barbra Banda
$1.3K traded, 24 h
- Settled No
Caroline Weir
$1.2K traded, 24 h
- Settled No
Vivianne Miedema
$1.1K traded, 24 h
- Settled No
Manaka Matsukubo
$1.1K traded, 24 h
- Settled No
Alex Greenwood
$1.1K traded, 24 h
- Settled No
Yui Hasegawa
$1.1K traded, 24 h
- Settled No
Momoko Tanikawa
$1.0K traded, 24 h
- Settled No
Cata Coll
$921.41 traded, 24 h
- Settled No
Rose Lavelle
$901.30 traded, 24 h
- Settled No
Kerstin Casparij
$869.52 traded, 24 h
- Settled No
Lorena
$853.07 traded, 24 h
- Settled No
Mariona Caldentey
$702.31 traded, 24 h
- Settled No
Esmee Brugts
$409.23 traded, 24 h
- Settled No
Mapi León
$337.25 traded, 24 h
- Settled No
Melvine Malard
$127.79 traded, 24 h
- Settled No
Klara Buhl
$108.31 traded, 24 h
Event facts
- Category
- Pop Culture · Awards
- Structure
- Each question settles on its own; several can win
- Fee
- 5% × p × (1−p) · taker only · 15% maker rebate
- UMA bond
- $500
- Resolver
- UMA CTF Adapter (sports)
- Questions
- 10 open · 20 settled
- Fills, last 24 h
- 122, 68.0 % from one wallet
- Polymarket-reported 24h volume
- 19,795 shares
- Created
- First trade
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player finishes in the top 5 of the official 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or ranking. Otherwise, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026. If more than 5 players tie for the top 5 in the award ranking, resolution will follow France Football's official top 5 list. Any players tied at the same placement with no further official distinction will be resolved alphabetically by name. If the award is postponed after November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or the final five places have not been determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Women's Ballon d'Or announcement; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This event has 30 questions. Each one settles on its own, so several can settle Yes.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
20 of the 30 have already settled No.
It can settle from Jan 1, 2027 04:59 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.
Prices as of Oct 26, 2026 20:22 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.