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Politics · Global electionsJapan

Yokohama Mayoral Election Winner

Live

Open on Polymarket
$9.0K
$12.7K
39
$7.2K
$137.2K

The leading questions, over time

Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.

  • Atsumi Harasawa96.3%
  • Kazuma Nakatani1.9%
  • Atsushi Fukuyama1.6%
  • Yuka Asaka0.8%
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Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.

Questions in this event

4 open · 27 never traded

Chance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.

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27 more that never traded

Event facts

Category
Politics · Global elections
Structure
Exactly one question can win
Fee
4% × p × (1−p) · taker only · 25% maker rebate
UMA bond
$500
Resolver
Neg-risk UMA CTF Adapter (sports)
Questions
4 open · 27 never traded
Fills, last 24 h
68
Polymarket-reported 24h volume
10,501 shares
  1. Created
  3. First trade

Who is trading this event

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The largest holders of each question with a free account; the ranked active traders and tagged-wallet flow with the full metrics.

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How does this event settle?

Rules, as written by Polymarket

The next Yokohama mayoral election is scheduled to be held on October 18, 2026, to elect the mayor of Yokohama, Japan (横浜市長). The election is being held following the resignation of Mayor Takeharu Yamanaka on September 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Yokohama as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Yokohama City Election Administration Commission (https://www.city.yokohama.lg.jp/).

This event has 31 questions and exactly one of them can win: when one settles Yes, every other settles No.

Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.

It can settle from Oct 18, 2026 23:59 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.

Prices as of Oct 17, 2026 11:45 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.