Politics · Middle EastIran
Question
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?
Live
Yes
15.5 % chance
No
84.5 % chance
$5.3K
27
Trading opened Sep 28, 2026 14:12 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 1, 2026 03:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 15.5 %chance
- Yes 15.5¢ · No 84.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
17.1¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
15.5¢
Yes price now
1.6¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
42
Smart money
19
Top holders
- an…23No8,521
- sc…usNo6,835
- 18…utNo5,000
- l…0No3,600
- M…PYes8,000
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