Politics · US electionsIran
Question
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate?
Live
Yes
6.3 % chance
No
93.7 % chance
$44.1K
48
Trading opened Oct 11, 2026 16:51 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC
Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23? → all 3 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 6.3 %chance
- Yes 6.3¢ · No 93.7¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
Yes price now 6.3¢ · holder entry warming up.
24h fills
94
Smart money
36
Top holders
- cl…edNo14,153
- AnonymousNo7,000
- cl…edYes19,050
- li…erNo4,432
- pu…daNo1,575
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