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Finance · Central banks & ratesBank of Canada decision

Question

Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement?

Live

Yes
35.5 % chance
No
64.5 % chance
$1.9K
33

Trading opened Sep 8, 2026 23:47 UTC · Eligible for resolution Dec 9, 2026 00:00 UTC

Bank of Canada Decision in December? → all 5 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 35.5 %chance
  • Yes 35.5¢ · No 64.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

42.0¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
35.5¢
Yes price now
6.5¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
57
Smart money
29

Top holders

  • po…odYes1,074
  • Pr…ieYes987.9
  • pe…iaYes1,062
  • Pr…ieNo697
  • Du…atNo668.9

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Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank