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Weather · MadridMadrid Daily Lowest Temperature

Question

Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 5°C or below on October 31?

Live · started Oct 29 04:29 UTC

Yes
2.2 % chance
No
97.8 % chance
$123.55
7

Trading opened Oct 29, 2026 04:30 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 31, 2026 12:00 UTC

Lowest temperature in Madrid on October 31? → all 11 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 2.2 %chance
  • Yes 2.2¢ · No 97.8¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

39.0¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
2.2¢
Yes price now
36.8¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
7
Smart money
5

Top holders

  • ca…33No91.6
  • ra…enYes25
  • 0x…hnYes20
  • ol…owNo5
  • a…3Yes25

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Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 5°C or below on October 31? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank