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Finance · IPOsOpenAI Valuation

Question

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $500B by December 31?

Live

Yes
3.6 % chance
No
96.4 % chance
$96.46
2

Trading opened May 19, 2026 05:03 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jan 1, 2027 12:00 UTC

Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31? → all 19 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 3.6 %chance
  • Yes 3.6¢ · No 96.4¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

8.1¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
3.7¢
Yes price now
4.4¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
1
Smart money
0

Top holders

  • qm…a2No5,596
  • in…roNo1,510
  • Wo…chNo1,378
  • Do…icYes4,378
  • sr…ieYes3,788

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Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $500B by December 31? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank