Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) be released on October 14, 2026?

Live

Yes

0.8 % chance

99.2 % chance

$414.53

Trading opened Oct 1, 2026 00:12 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 15, 2026 03:59 UTC

Next Claude Haiku (4.6+) released on...? → all 32 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

0.8 %chance
Yes 0.8¢ · No 99.2¢

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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

2.7¢

Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)

0.8¢

Yes price now

1.9¢

Holders paid above the current price

24h fills

Smart money

Top holders

mi…ktNo257.3
no…erNo55
go…26No48.7
gm…mgNo32.8
sm…ptNo30.6

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