Tech · AI
Question
Will there be no next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) release by October 31, 2026?
Live
Yes
1.1 % chance
No
98.9 % chance
$1.1K
17
Trading opened Oct 1, 2026 00:12 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 1, 2026 03:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 1.1 %chance
- Yes 1.1¢ · No 98.9¢
Loading the price chart…
- 1D · All: Loading…
Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
5.8¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
1.1¢
Yes price now
4.7¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
34
Smart money
14
Top holders
- mi…ktNo249.7
- ba…arNo203.9
- mi…27No155
- Fa…anNo154.7
- e…3No84.8
See who's really positioned here
The traders active here ranked by their measured track record in this category, the 24h order-flow chart, and the live fills feed — free with an account.
Create account to unlockNot affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.
Loading market…