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World · Middle EastIran

Question

Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026?

Live

Yes
24.5 % chance
No
75.5 % chance
$11.2K
36

Trading opened Sep 15, 2026 21:29 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jan 1, 2027 04:59 UTC

Israeli airspace closed by...? (Excluding Holiday Closures) → all 4 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 24.5 %chance
  • Yes 24.5¢ · No 75.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

26.9¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
24.5¢
Yes price now
2.4¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
80
Smart money
26

Top holders

  • LJ…4jNo14,106
  • yi…wzNo10,800
  • To…d1Yes15,587
  • gu…gtYes10,800
  • de…erNo4,000

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Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank