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Finance · EquitiesSPY Daily Close U/O

Question

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $775 on October 5?

Live · started Oct 4 21:00 UTC

Yes
8.6 % chance
No
91.4 % chance
$13.3K
19

Trading opened Oct 2, 2026 12:14 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 5, 2026 20:00 UTC

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on October 5? → all 11 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 8.6 %chance
  • Yes 8.6¢ · No 91.3¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

14.0¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
8.6¢
Yes price now
5.3¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
68
Smart money
13

Top holders

  • ko…edNo6,780
  • he…23No6,621
  • th…inYes8,438
  • gr…69Yes4,522
  • Ne…omNo290.1

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S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $775 on October 5? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank