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Politics · Global electionsUK

Question

Will the Labour Party candidate win 35-40% of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?

Live

Yes
4.5 % chance
No
95.5 % chance
$627.51
12

Trading opened Sep 14, 2026 22:50 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 8, 2026 23:59 UTC

Holborn and St Pancras By-Election: Labour Vote Share? → all 6 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 4.5 %chance
  • Yes 4.5¢ · No 95.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

17.6¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
4.5¢
Yes price now
13.2¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
15
Smart money
6

Top holders

  • Ad…shNo569.7
  • Lu…ysNo158.4
  • ci…esNo143.9
  • Jo…92Yes300
  • qu…elNo115

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Will the Labour Party candidate win 35-40% of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank