Tech · AI
Question
Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1460 by June 30, 2027?
Live
Yes
19.5 % chance
No
80.5 % chance
$615.64
14
Trading opened Oct 1, 2026 00:11 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jul 1, 2027 03:59 UTC
Next Claude Haiku Model (4.6+): Text Arena Debut? → all 4 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 19.5 %chance
- Yes 19.5¢ · No 80.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
20.2¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
19.5¢
Yes price now
0.7¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
16
Smart money
11
Top holders
- Be…02No361.4
- iu…alYes513.3
- Sm…lyNo200
- Ar…lyNo200
- Ki…ngYes609
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