Politics · US elections
Question
Will the Democratic Party win the AR-02 House seat?
Live
Yes
23.0 % chance
No
77.0 % chance
$6.5K
47
Trading opened Jan 28, 2026 05:42 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 23.0 %chance
- Yes 23.0¢ · No 77.0¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
15.9¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
23.0¢
Yes price now
7.1¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
57
Smart money
18
Top holders
- Bi…itYes10,000
- an…23No3,369
- ci…esNo1,470
- ma…ksNo1,500
- Pr…ieNo1,060
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