Politics · Ukraine & RussiaGeopolitics
Question
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by March 31, 2027?
Live
Yes
38.0 % chance
No
62.0 % chance
$21.1K
16
Trading opened Oct 12, 2026 13:51 UTC · Eligible for resolution Apr 1, 2027 03:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 38.0 %chance
- Yes 38.0¢ · No 62.0¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
39.0¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
38.0¢
Yes price now
1.0¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
23
Smart money
10
Top holders
- p…rYes18,236
- ta…jiNo12,650
- an…anNo12,228
- gu…11Yes16,126
- m…1No9,490
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