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Politics · Ukraine & Russia

Question

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by September 30, 2027?

Live

Yes
61.0 % chance
No
39.0 % chance
$33.96
4

Trading opened Sep 7, 2026 15:51 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 1, 2027 03:59 UTC

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...? → all 18 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 61.0 %chance
  • Yes 61.0¢ · No 39.0¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

60.1¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
61.0¢
Yes price now
0.9¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
4
Smart money
1

Top holders

  • Sh…gyNo265
  • Ge…erYes207
  • ne…erYes193.3
  • Tr…onYes90.4
  • AnonymousNo101.6

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Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by September 30, 2027? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank