Politics · US electionsOil
Question
Will oil be below $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?
Live
Yes
7.1 % chance
No
92.9 % chance
$15.2K
48
Trading opened Oct 12, 2026 16:10 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC
Who wins the Senate pending oil above or below $80 before the midterms? → all 4 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 7.1 %chance
- Yes 7.1¢ · No 92.9¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
7.6¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
7.1¢
Yes price now
0.5¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
85
Smart money
41
Top holders
- C…rYes9,800
- Lo…isNo2,050
- gu…23No1,315
- l…bNo1,308
- Di…oyNo1,275
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