Politics · US electionsMidterms
Question
Will Mike Thompson win the CA-04 House seat?
Live
Yes
4.2 % chance
No
95.8 % chance
$2.0K
38
Trading opened Jul 6, 2026 22:06 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 5, 2026 04:59 UTC
CA-04 House Election Winner (by individual) → all 6 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 4.2 %chance
- Yes 4.2¢ · No 95.8¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
47.5¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
4.0¢
Yes price now
43.4¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
90
Smart money
28
Top holders
- ma…ksNo836.1
- Li…enYes899.8
- GU…23Yes871
- co…ksNo787
- eq…ieYes514
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