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WorldLula Vote Share?

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Lula Vote Share? (Higher Strikes)

Will Luis Inácio (Lula) da Silva win between 50% and 53% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Live

Yes
1.9 % chance
No
98.0 % chance
$327.87
9

Trading opened Oct 2, 2026 18:13 UTC · Scheduled close Oct 5, 2026 02:59 UTC

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Lula Vote Share? (Higher Strikes) → all 6 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • Yes1.9¢
  • No98.0¢
  • 1D: Loading…

Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

2.3¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
1.9¢
Yes price now
0.3¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
10
Smart money
7

Top holders

  • ba…arNo110.2
  • C…sNo100.1
  • Pr…onNo80.5
  • Lu…ysNo79.2
  • sm…ptNo50

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Will Luis Inácio (Lula) da Silva win between 50% and 53% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank