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Politics · US elections

Question

Will the Republican Party win the NJ-08 House seat?

Live

Yes
3.5 % chance
No
96.5 % chance
$23.1K
7

Trading opened Jan 28, 2026 21:53 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC

NJ-08 House Election Winner → all 8 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 3.5 %chance
  • Yes 3.5¢ · No 96.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

4.3¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
3.5¢
Yes price now
0.7¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
9
Smart money
3

Top holders

  • b…5No15,740
  • pu…toNo13,483
  • Im…enYes25,000
  • re…erNo1,500
  • Un…r1Yes5,513

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Will the Republican Party win the NJ-08 House seat? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank