Politics · Ukraine & Russia
Question
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026?
Live
Yes
2.3 % chance
No
97.7 % chance
$281.16
4
Trading opened Aug 11, 2026 16:57 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 1, 2026 03:59 UTC
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by...? → all 9 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 2.3 %chance
- Yes 2.3¢ · No 97.7¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
11.7¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
2.3¢
Yes price now
9.4¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
5
Smart money
2
Top holders
- ho…stNo13,169
- ni…rrYes10,166
- bi…opYes7,890
- Jo…01No2,317
- bi…ioNo970.5
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