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World · Global electionsIsrael

Question

Will the opposition bloc win the Israeli election by 3-4 seats?

Live

Yes
5.3 % chance
No
94.7 % chance
$227.83
11

Trading opened Oct 26, 2026 20:35 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 28, 2026 03:59 UTC

Israel Election: Bloc Seat Margin of Victory → all 10 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 5.3 %chance
  • Yes 5.3¢ · No 94.7¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

25.1¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
5.3¢
Yes price now
19.8¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
16
Smart money
9

Top holders

  • ba…arNo227.1
  • Ho…s7No190.1
  • Co…itYes200
  • xt…meYes177.3
  • Or…onYes62.6

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Will the opposition bloc win the Israeli election by 3-4 seats? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank