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Will Lula win 44% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Trading opened Sep 16, 2026 02:26 UTC · Scheduled close Oct 4, 2026 23:59 UTC

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Lula Vote Share? → all 5 questions

Where holders bought vs market

52%
Holder avg entry (skill-weighted)
70%
Market mid
17 pts
Holders paid below the current mid
24h volume
$3.7K
24h fills
37
Positioners
19
Smart money
13

Top holders

  • Ad…shYES5,523
  • Os…erYES2,920
  • Bi…lsNO2,600
  • gr…11NO1,321
  • Se…01YES938.8

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Will Lula win 44% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank