Politics · Middle EastOilships transit the Strait of Hormuz
Question
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25?
Live
Yes
15.5 % chance
No
84.5 % chance
$3.1K
28
Trading opened Oct 13, 2026 09:34 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 26, 2026 03:59 UTC
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of October 19? → all 6 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 15.5 %chance
- Yes 15.5¢ · No 84.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
30.6¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
15.0¢
Yes price now
15.6¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
60
Smart money
23
Top holders
- bo…nkNo1,116
- sh…ooNo426
- Vi…axNo310
- CD…esYes438
- me…48No180
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