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Politics · US elections

Question

Will the Democratic Party win the MO-04 House seat?

Live

Yes
3.8 % chance
No
96.2 % chance
$1.5K
20

Trading opened Jan 28, 2026 21:51 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC

MO-04 House Election Winner → all 8 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 3.8 %chance
  • Yes 3.8¢ · No 96.2¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

6.9¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
3.8¢
Yes price now
3.1¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
34
Smart money
18

Top holders

  • Si…eeYes3,848
  • Pr…ieNo953.9
  • Z…PNo480.6
  • an…noNo473.8
  • co…ksNo441

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Will the Democratic Party win the MO-04 House seat? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank