Politics · US elections
Question
Will the Democratic Party win the MO-04 House seat?
Live
Yes
3.8 % chance
No
96.2 % chance
$1.5K
20
Trading opened Jan 28, 2026 21:51 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 3.8 %chance
- Yes 3.8¢ · No 96.2¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
6.9¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
3.8¢
Yes price now
3.1¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
34
Smart money
18
Top holders
- Si…eeYes3,848
- Pr…ieNo953.9
- Z…PNo480.6
- an…noNo473.8
- co…ksNo441
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