Politics · Global electionsUK
Question
Will the Green candidate win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election by a margin of 5-10%?
Live
Yes
0.2 % chance
No
99.8 % chance
$62.42
6
Trading opened Sep 14, 2026 22:50 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 8, 2026 23:59 UTC
Holborn and St Pancras By-Election: Vote Share Margin of Victory → all 9 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 0.2 %chance
- Yes 0.2¢ · No 99.8¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
4.8¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.2¢
Yes price now
4.6¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
5
Smart money
4
Top holders
- ba…arNo241.9
- Ad…stNo80
- Vi…axNo50
- pr…tyNo41.1
- Lu…ysNo37
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