Politics · Middle EastTrump CabinetPete Hegseth out
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
Live
Yes
44.0 % chance
No
56.0 % chance
$127.3K
377
Trading opened Apr 1, 2026 19:37 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jan 1, 2027 04:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 44.0 %chance
- Yes 44.0¢ · No 56.0¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
29.9¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
44.5¢
Yes price now
14.6¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
1,459
Smart money
222
Top holders
- M…PNo25,366
- Di…67Yes28,798
- Se…roNo16,170
- Da…yPYes16,421
- Ho…rkYes22,750
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