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World · Global elections

Question

Will Iliana Iotova win the second round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election by 4–8%?

Live

Yes
2.5 % chance
No
97.5 % chance
$1.2K
40

Trading opened Oct 26, 2026 17:07 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 2, 2026 04:59 UTC

Bulgaria Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory → all 9 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 2.5 %chance
  • Yes 2.5¢ · No 97.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

18.3¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
2.5¢
Yes price now
15.8¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
89
Smart money
27

Top holders

  • Vi…axNo305.8
  • AnonymousYes533.2
  • Lu…ysNo206.1
  • Ze…BGYes346
  • a…3No141.9

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Will Iliana Iotova win the second round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election by 4–8%? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank