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World · US electionsGaza

Question

Will the Democrats fail to sweep the House and Senate and Israel and Hamas not agree to ceasefire Phase II by the end of 2027?

Live

Yes
0.3 % chance
No
99.7 % chance
$3.9K
17

Trading opened Nov 2, 2026 00:48 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jan 1, 2028 04:59 UTC

Dem sweep & Gaza ceasefire Phase II by end of 2027? → all 4 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 0.3 %chance
  • Yes 0.3¢ · No 99.7¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

14.9¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.3¢
Yes price now
14.7¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
74
Smart money
15

Top holders

  • Me…leNo3,485
  • au…mmYes2,360
  • Lu…ysNo210
  • lo…olYes295.2
  • mu…erNo120

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Will the Democrats fail to sweep the House and Senate and Israel and Hamas not agree to ceasefire Phase II by the end of 2027? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank