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Weather · San FranciscoSan Francisco Daily Weather

Question

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on October 15?

Live · started 07:00 UTC

Yes
15.3 % chance
No
84.7 % chance
$726.70
45

Trading opened Oct 13, 2026 10:56 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 15, 2026 12:00 UTC

Highest temperature in San Francisco on October 15? → all 11 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 15.3 %chance
  • Yes 15.3¢ · No 84.7¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

30.2¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
15.3¢
Yes price now
14.9¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
65
Smart money
29

Top holders

  • AnonymousNo511.9
  • Tu…urNo276.1
  • el…lfYes346.3
  • AnonymousYes322
  • wt…80No94.2

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Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on October 15? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank