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Politics · GeopoliticsCuba

Question

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?

Live

Yes
8.5 % chance
No
91.5 % chance
$14.6K
12

Trading opened Jan 5, 2026 22:57 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jan 1, 2027 04:59 UTC

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...? → all 3 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 8.5 %chance
  • Yes 8.5¢ · No 91.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

47.3¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
8.5¢
Yes price now
38.8¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
18
Smart money
10

Top holders

  • De…ipNo29,258
  • co…atYes18,525
  • TO…85Yes11,495
  • ne…taNo10,082
  • Aj…liNo7,533

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Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank