World · Global elections
Question
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 20–40%?
Live
Yes
10.5 % chance
No
89.5 % chance
$926.62
36
Trading opened Oct 9, 2026 21:49 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 20, 2026 03:59 UTC
Alberta Independence Referendum: Margin of Victory → all 7 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 10.5 %chance
- Yes 10.5¢ · No 89.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
16.3¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
10.5¢
Yes price now
5.8¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
94
Smart money
30
Top holders
- ra…07Yes2,408
- l…gNo714.5
- gu…23No361
- Lu…ysNo264.2
- Bi…ggNo235.3
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