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Weather · WarsawWarsaw Daily Weather

Question

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on October 15?

Live · started Oct 14 22:00 UTC

Yes
0.4 % chance
No
99.6 % chance
$670.17
38

Trading opened Oct 13, 2026 04:57 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 15, 2026 12:00 UTC

Highest temperature in Warsaw on October 15? → all 11 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 0.4 %chance
  • Yes 0.4¢ · No 99.6¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

4.9¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.5¢
Yes price now
4.4¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
58
Smart money
26

Top holders

  • pu…anNo243
  • da…thNo80
  • mu…erNo67.3
  • Lu…ysNo54.7
  • l…2No48

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Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on October 15? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank