Politics · US electionsMidterms
Question
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 6%-9%?
Live
Yes
4.3 % chance
No
95.7 % chance
$515.79
14
Trading opened Aug 4, 2026 18:42 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 4.3 %chance
- Yes 4.3¢ · No 95.7¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
11.8¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
4.3¢
Yes price now
7.5¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
14
Smart money
13
Top holders
- Lu…ysNo160.3
- Si…eeNo100
- l…bNo101.3
- ka…78No70
- Ha…erNo44.5
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