Weather · Earthquakes
Question
Will the highest-magnitude earthquake in 2026 be 8.4 – 8.5?
Live
Yes
0.4 % chance
No
99.6 % chance
$156.74
5
Trading opened Aug 18, 2026 14:53 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jan 7, 2027 16:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 0.4 %chance
- Yes 0.4¢ · No 99.6¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
2.3¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.4¢
Yes price now
1.9¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
5
Smart money
3
Top holders
- My…iaNo81.6
- Vi…axNo80
- Ju…reNo50.9
- F…iNo50
- AnonymousNo27
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