Politics · Economy & the FedFedFOMC
Question
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Live
Yes
15.5 % chance
No
84.5 % chance
$102.7K
92
Trading opened Jun 17, 2026 23:33 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 29, 2026 03:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 15.5 %chance
- Yes 15.5¢ · No 84.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
45.2¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
15.5¢
Yes price now
29.7¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
133
Smart money
46
Top holders
- ti…erNo1,051,739
- Er…s.Yes816,110
- My…ndYes515,053
- Dr…wnYes269,103
- te…seYes297,813
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