Politics · Middle EastGeopolitics
Question
Iran coup attempt by December 31, 2026?
Live
Yes
11.0 % chance
No
89.0 % chance
$100.98
3
Trading opened Jun 30, 2026 21:14 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jan 1, 2027 04:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 11.0 %chance
- Yes 11.0¢ · No 89.0¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
10.5¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
11.0¢
Yes price now
0.5¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
2
Smart money
0
Top holders
- an…23No37,203
- Wa…ttYes20,000
- Cr…78Yes11,239
- C…rNo2,001
- Wo…chNo2,000
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