Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on October 4?

Live · starts 16:00 UTC

Yes

1.2 % chance

98.8 % chance

$602.39

Trading opened Oct 2, 2026 04:56 UTC · Kick-off Oct 3, 2026 16:00 UTC · Scheduled close Oct 4, 2026 12:00 UTC

Highest temperature in Shanghai on October 4? → all 11 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

Yes1.2¢
No98.8¢

1D: Loading…

Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

0.4¢

Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)

1.2¢

Yes price now

0.8¢

Holders paid below the current price

24h fills

Smart money

Top holders

Lu…ysNo170
xi…ngNo154.1
En…reNo101.1
So…anNo49.8
sk…jjNo40.2

See who's really positioned here

The traders active here ranked by their measured track record in this category, the 24h order-flow chart, and the live fills feed — free with an account.

Connect to unlock

Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.