Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) be released on October 20, 2026?

Live

Yes

3.0 % chance

97.0 % chance

$33.23

Trading opened Oct 1, 2026 00:12 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 21, 2026 03:59 UTC

Next Claude Haiku (4.6+) released on...? → all 32 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

3.0 %chance
Yes 3.0¢ · No 97.0¢

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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

3.2¢

Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)

3.0¢

Yes price now

0.2¢

Holders paid above the current price

24h fills

Smart money

Top holders

mi…ktNo34.5
C…MNo18.3
In…toNo18
Em…onNo18
Na…ssNo18

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